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Hawks vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12

FinalGolden 1 Center · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports CA
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
7-5 · away
Final score
133-100
Projected: 117-115
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
3-9 · home
58% win ATLwin SAC 42%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin2.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Sacramento Kings (3-8) host the Atlanta Hawks (6-5) on Wednesday, November 12 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Hawks 133 – Kings 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 58% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 2-4 at home and the Hawks are 4-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Kings and 6-4 for the Hawks (current streaks: Kings L3, Hawks W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Kings 115 – 117 Hawks, a margin of about 2.5 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. The Kings played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC -3.5 / ATL -0.3 per game
-3.2
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Back-to-backKings played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Kings
-2.5

Scenarios

Kings win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Hawks win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

ATLSAC
116.3
Points scored / game
115.2
116.7
Points allowed / game
119.3
46.9 %
Field goal %
44.5 %
34.8 %
3-point %
30.0 %
41.4
3-pointers attempted / game
32.5
72.8 %
Free throw %
73.1 %
41.4
Rebounds / game
41.5
32.2
Assists / game
22.8
10.2
Steals / game
6.8
3.6
Blocks / game
2.5
14.0
Turnovers / game
14.3

Top performers

Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #124pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #18assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #110rebounds
Kings
Keon EllisG · #120pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #104assists
Devin CarterG · #996rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
ATL
No games played yet.
SAC
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

ATL lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

ATLSAC
6-5Record3-8
116.3Points scored / game115.2
116.7Points allowed / game119.3
-0.3Adjusted margin / game-3.5
W2Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games3-7
4-2 roadHome / road record2-4 home
40-42 (-1.1)Last season40-42 (+0.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Sacramento Kings Injury report Kings

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.