Pacers vs Warriors prediction NBA · Sunday, November 9
At a glance
The Golden State Warriors (5-5) host the Indiana Pacers (1-8) on Sunday, November 9 at 8:30 PM ET at Chase Center in NBA action. Final score: Pacers 83 – Warriors 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Warriors are 4-0 at home and the Pacers are 0-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-5 for the Warriors and 1-8 for the Pacers (current streaks: Warriors L2, Pacers L3).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Warriors dominate this matchup. The model projects Warriors 118 – 110 Pacers, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
INDGS
Top performers
Pacers
Andrew NembhardG · #214pts / gameAndrew NembhardG · #29assists
Jeremiah Robinson-EarlF · #2312reboundsWarriors
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1021pts / gameJimmy Butler IIIF · #107assistsJimmy Butler IIIF · #109reboundsRecent form
INDGS
GS
Team comparison
| IND | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 5-5 |
| 114.4 | Points scored / game | 114.8 |
| 116.9 | Points allowed / game | 113.3 |
| -2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.3 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 1-8 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 0-4 road | Home / road record | 4-0 home |
| 50-32 (+2.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+3.3) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Pacers
Injury report Warriors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.