Warriors vs Pacers prediction NBA · Saturday, November 1
At a glance
The Indiana Pacers (0-5) host the Golden State Warriors (4-2) on Saturday, November 1 at 7:00 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 109 – Pacers 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Warriors a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pacers are 0-2 at home and the Warriors are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-5 for the Pacers and 4-2 for the Warriors (current streaks: Pacers L5, Warriors L1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Warriors, but the Pacers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Pacers 113 – 116 Warriors, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Warriors and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-1.5 vs +2.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Warriors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSIND
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3024pts / game
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #107assists
Draymond GreenF · #2310reboundsPacers
Aaron NesmithG · #2331pts / game
Quenton JacksonG · #2910assists
Jarace WalkerF · #59reboundsRecent form
GSIND
GS
Team comparison
| GS | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 0-5 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 115.8 |
| 112.3 | Points allowed / game | 117.6 |
| +2.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.5 |
| L1 | Current streak | L5 |
| 4-2 | Last 10 games | 0-5 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 50-32 (+2.2) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Pacers
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.