Mavericks vs Wizards prediction NBA · Saturday, November 8
At a glance
The Washington Wizards (1-8) host the Dallas Mavericks (2-7) on Saturday, November 8 at 7:00 PM ET at Capital One Arena in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 111 – Wizards 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 71% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Wizards are 0-4 at home and the Mavericks are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-8 for the Wizards and 2-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Wizards L7, Mavericks L4).
The analysis Model
The Mavericks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Wizards 111 – 118 Mavericks, a margin of about 6.8 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Wizards and the Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-12.6 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALWSH
Top performers
Mavericks
Naji MarshallF · #330pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #126assists
P.J. WashingtonF · #259reboundsWizards
CJ McCollumG · #325pts / game
Alex SarrC · #205assists
Tre JohnsonG · #129reboundsRecent form
DALWSH
WSH
Team comparison
| DAL | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 1-8 |
| 110.7 | Points scored / game | 109.8 |
| 114.9 | Points allowed / game | 124.7 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | -12.6 |
| L4 | Current streak | L7 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 1-8 |
| 0-3 road | Home / road record | 0-4 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 18-64 (-12.4) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Wizards
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.