Match analysis Today's games NBA standings EuroLeague Track record

Wizards vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

FinalAmerican Airlines Center · MNMT, NBA League Pass, KFAA-TV

Washington Wizards

1-1 · away

Final score

117-107

Projected: 110-120

Dallas Mavericks

0-2 · home

22% win WSHwin DAL 78%

FavoriteDAL

Projected margin9.8

Projected total229

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Dallas Mavericks (0-1) host the Washington Wizards (0-1) on Friday, October 24 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Wizards 117 – Mavericks 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 78% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Mavericks are 0-1 at home and the Wizards are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Mavericks and 0-1 for the Wizards (current streaks: Mavericks L1, Wizards L1).

The analysis Model

The Mavericks start with a clear edge. The model projects Mavericks 120 – 110 Wizards, a margin of about 9.8 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

The overall strength gap (-3.1 vs -10.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Wizards need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Mavericks' offense (112.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Mavericks

Team strength (adjusted point differential)DAL -3.1 / WSH -10.6 per game

+7.5

Home-court advantageMavericks at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Mavericks

+9.8

Scenarios

Mavericks win by 10+

49%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

23%

Wizards win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

WSHDAL

108.9

Points scored / game

112.5

121.4

Points allowed / game

116.1

48.0 %

Field goal %

49.0 %

28.5 %

3-point %

34.6 %

31.6

3-pointers attempted / game

38.2

83.1 %

Free throw %

76.7 %

40.0

Rebounds / game

44.2

25.8

Assists / game

27.6

7.4

Steals / game

9.0

5.6

Blocks / game

7.4

13.6

Turnovers / game

15.6

Top performers

Wizards

Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1834pts / game

Alex SarrC · #205assists

Kyshawn GeorgeF · #1811rebounds

Mavericks

Anthony DavisF · #2327pts / game

Cooper FlaggF · #326assists

Anthony DavisF · #2313rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

WSH

No games played yet.

DAL

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

WSH		DAL
0-1	Record	0-1
108.9	Points scored / game	112.5
121.4	Points allowed / game	116.1
-10.6	Adjusted margin / game	-3.1
L1	Current streak	L1
0-1	Last 10 games	0-1
0-1 road	Home / road record	0-1 home
18-64 (-12.4)	Last season	39-43 (-1.2)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Wizards

No injuries reported.

Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.