Heat vs Nuggets prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5
At a glance
The Denver Nuggets (4-2) host the Miami Heat (4-3) on Wednesday, November 5 at 9:00 PM ET at Ball Arena in NBA action. Final score: Heat 112 – Nuggets 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Nuggets a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nuggets are 3-0 at home and the Heat are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-2 for the Nuggets and 4-3 for the Heat (current streaks: Nuggets W1, Heat W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Nuggets, but the Heat have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nuggets 119 – 114 Heat, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of the Nuggets and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The Heat need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Nuggets' offense (122.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Heat's defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MIADEN
Top performers
Heat
Norman PowellG · #2423pts / game
Davion MitchellG · #29assists
Kel'el WareC · #913reboundsNuggets
Nikola JokicC · #1533pts / gameNikola JokicC · #1516assistsNikola JokicC · #1515reboundsRecent form
MIADEN
MIA
Team comparison
| MIA | DEN | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | Record | 4-2 |
| 115.5 | Points scored / game | 122.2 |
| 112.6 | Points allowed / game | 115.9 |
| +2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-3 | Last 10 games | 4-2 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 37-45 (+0.6) | Last season | 50-32 (+3.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Heat
Injury report Nuggets
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.