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Mavericks vs Pistons prediction NBA · Saturday, November 1

FinalArena CDMX · Peacock
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
2-4 · away
Final score
110-122
Projected: 111-117
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
4-2 · home
31% win DALwin DET 69%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin6.3
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (3-2) host the Dallas Mavericks (2-3) on Saturday, November 1 at 10:00 PM ET at Arena CDMX in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 110 – Pistons 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 69% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 2-1 at home. Since the start of the season: 3-2 for the Pistons and 2-3 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Pistons W1, Mavericks W1).

The analysis Model

The Pistons are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Pistons 117 – 111 Mavericks, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Pistons' offense (115.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +1.3 / DAL -2.6 per game
+4.0
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+6.3

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
38%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Mavericks win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

DALDET
112.3
Points scored / game
115.4
115.4
Points allowed / game
113.8
49.0 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
76.7 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.6
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
8.0
7.4
Blocks / game
7.2
15.6
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Mavericks
D'Angelo RussellG31pts / game
Max ChristieG · #05assists
Cooper FlaggF · #328rebounds
Pistons
Jalen DurenC · #033pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #218assists
Jalen DurenC · #010rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

DALDET
2-3Record3-2
112.3Points scored / game115.4
115.4Points allowed / game113.8
-2.6Adjusted margin / game+1.3
W1Current streakW1
2-3Last 10 games3-2
0-0 roadHome / road record2-1 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.