Warriors vs Bucks prediction NBA · Thursday, October 30
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (3-1) host the Golden State Warriors (4-1) on Thursday, October 30 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Warriors 110 – Bucks 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 2-0 at home and the Warriors are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-1 for the Bucks and 4-1 for the Warriors (current streaks: Bucks W1, Warriors W2).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Bucks 116 – 114 Warriors, a margin of about 1.8 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Warriors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
GSMIL
Top performers
Warriors
Stephen CurryG · #3027pts / game
Draymond GreenF · #236assists
Jimmy Butler IIIF · #1010reboundsBucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1332pts / gameRyan RollinsG · #138assists
Kyle KuzmaF · #188reboundsRecent form
GSMIL
GS
Team comparison
| GS | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 115.9 | Points scored / game | 117.2 |
| 111.9 | Points allowed / game | 113.8 |
| +3.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-1 | Last 10 games | 3-1 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 48-34 (+3.3) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Warriors
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.