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Pistons vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, October 24

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN DET
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
1-1 · away
Final score
115-111
Projected: 111-116
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
0-2 · home
36% win DETwin HOU 64%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin4.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (0-1) host the Detroit Pistons (0-1) on Friday, October 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 115 – Rockets 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 64% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Pistons are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 0-1 for the Rockets and 0-1 for the Pistons (current streaks: Rockets L1, Pistons L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Pistons have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 116 – 111 Pistons, a margin of about 4.5 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +3.5 / DET +1.2 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+4.5

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
33%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Pistons win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

DETHOU
115.2
Points scored / game
115.0
113.7
Points allowed / game
111.0
45.9 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
37.9 %
3-point %
40.4 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
74.4 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.0
Assists / game
28.2
8.0
Steals / game
10.2
7.2
Blocks / game
6.0
15.6
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #221pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #29assists
Paul ReedF · #79rebounds
Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #737pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #287assists
Steven AdamsC · #1210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

DETHOU
0-1Record0-1
115.2Points scored / game115.0
113.7Points allowed / game111.0
+1.2Adjusted margin / game+3.5
L1Current streakL1
0-1Last 10 games0-1
0-1 roadHome / road record0-0 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.