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Maccabi vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 6

Fri, Nov 6 · 2:45 PM ETBELGRADE ARENA
32% win MTAwin PAR 68%
FavoritePAR
Projected margin5.2
Projected total172
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Friday, November 6 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade a 68% chance to win and projects a 84-89 score (Maccabi – Partizan), about 172 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Partizan L1, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Partizan, but Maccabi has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Partizan 89 – 84 Maccabi, a margin of about 5.2 points in favor of Partizan and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Maccabi's offense (88.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Partizan
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PAR -2.6 / MTA -4.6 per game
+2.0
Home-court advantagePartizan at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Partizan
+5.2

Scenarios

Partizan win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Maccabi win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MTAPAR
88.3
Points scored / game
79.9
93.7
Points allowed / game
83.0
-4.6
Adjusted margin / game
-2.6
22 %
Win %
50 %
1
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90
PAR
LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne75-82WCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade85-82LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul65-74LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens55-72LReal Madrid76-86

Team comparison

MTAPAR
2-7Record4-4
88.3Points scored / game79.9
93.7Points allowed / game83.0
-4.6Adjusted margin / game-2.6
L3Current streakL1
2-7Last 10 games4-4
1-4 roadHome / road record2-1 home
18-20 (-2.5)Last season16-22 (-4.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.