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Partizan vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, April 7

Wed, Apr 7 · 12:00 PM ETALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL
46% win PARwin MTA 54%
FavoriteMTA
Projected margin1.2
Projected total172
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Wednesday, April 7 at 12:00 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv a 54% chance to win and projects a 86-87 score (Partizan – Maccabi), about 172 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Maccabi 87 – 86 Partizan, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of Maccabi and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Maccabi's offense (88.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Partizan's defense allows clearly fewer points (83.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Maccabi
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MTA -4.6 / PAR -2.6 per game
-2.0
Home-court advantageMaccabi at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Maccabi
+1.2

Scenarios

Maccabi win by 10+
22%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Partizan win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PARMTA
79.9
Points scored / game
88.3
83.0
Points allowed / game
93.7
-2.6
Adjusted margin / game
-4.6
50 %
Win %
22 %
2
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PAR
LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne75-82WCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade85-82LFenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul65-74LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens55-72LReal Madrid76-86
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90

Team comparison

PARMTA
4-4Record2-7
79.9Points scored / game88.3
83.0Points allowed / game93.7
-2.6Adjusted margin / game-4.6
L1Current streakL3
4-4Last 10 games2-7
2-3 roadHome / road record1-3 home
16-22 (-4.9)Last season18-20 (-2.5)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.