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Dubai vs Virtus Bologna prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 6

Fri, Nov 6 · 2:30 PM ETPALADOZZA
51% win DUBwin VIR 49%
FavoriteDUB
Projected margin0.2
Projected total172
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Virtus Bologna (4-4) host Dubai Basketball (5-3) on Friday, November 6 at 2:30 PM ET at PALADOZZA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Dubai Basketball a 51% chance to win and projects a 87-86 score (Dubai – Virtus Bologna), about 172 total points. This season, Virtus Bologna are 2-1 at home and Dubai Basketball are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Virtus Bologna and 5-3 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Virtus Bologna L2, Dubai L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Virtus Bologna 86 – 87 Dubai, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of Dubai and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Dubai's offense (87.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Virtus Bologna
Team strength (adjusted point differential)VIR -3.0 / DUB +0.4 per game
-3.4
Home-court advantageVirtus Bologna at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Virtus Bologna
-0.2

Scenarios

Virtus Bologna win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Dubai win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

DUBVIR
87.2
Points scored / game
83.4
86.7
Points allowed / game
86.9
0.4
Adjusted margin / game
-3.0
63 %
Win %
50 %
2
Home wins
2
3
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77
VIR
LZalgiris Kaunas74-91LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv81-90WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz86-78WParis Basketball96-94WFC Bayern Munich94-87

Team comparison

DUBVIR
5-3Record4-4
87.2Points scored / game83.4
86.7Points allowed / game86.9
+0.4Adjusted margin / game-3.0
L1Current streakL2
5-3Last 10 games4-4
3-1 roadHome / road record2-1 home
19-19 (+0.1)Last season14-24 (-4.6)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.