Zalgiris vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Friday, November 6
At a glance
Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Friday, November 6 at 12:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Besiktas Istanbul a 50% chance to win and projects a 86-87 score (Zalgiris – Besiktas), about 172 total points. This season, Besiktas Istanbul are 1-3 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Besiktas L2, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Besiktas 87 – 86 Zalgiris, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of Besiktas and a total around 172 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Zalgiris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALBJK
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81
BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W
92-84Head-to-head
Team comparison
| ZAL | BJK | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 3-5 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 86.2 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 87.3 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.0 |
| W2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | – |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.