Besiktas vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, February 4
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Thursday, February 4 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 71% chance to win and projects a 83-89 score (Besiktas – Zalgiris), about 172 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Zalgiris is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Zalgiris 89 – 83 Besiktas, a margin of about 6.3 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 172 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BJKZAL
Recent form
BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W
92-84ZAL
91-74W
105-85L70-85L
80-99W
88-81Head-to-head
Team comparison
| BJK | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 4-4 |
| 86.2 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 87.3 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| – | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.