Valencia vs Milan prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 5
At a glance
Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) host Valencia Basket (6-2) on Thursday, November 5 at 2:30 PM ET at UNIPOL FORUM in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 69% chance to win and projects a 92-86 score (Valencia – Milan), about 178 total points. This season, Armani Olimpia Milan are 1-3 at home and Valencia Basket are 3-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan and 6-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Milan L6, Valencia W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Valencia is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Milan 86 – 92 Valencia, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.1 vs +4.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCMIL
Recent form
VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L
97-102W
93-82MIL
75-80L
81-89L
97-101L
89-98L79-97Team comparison
| VBC | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 1-7 |
| 93.9 | Points scored / game | 84.3 |
| 88.1 | Points allowed / game | 89.1 |
| +4.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.1 |
| W2 | Current streak | L6 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 1-7 |
| 3-0 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 17-21 (-1.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.