Milan vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, February 3
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host Armani Olimpia Milan (1-7) on Wednesday, February 3 at 2:45 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 86% chance to win and projects a 83-95 score (Milan – Valencia), about 178 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and Armani Olimpia Milan are 0-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 1-7 for Armani Olimpia Milan (current streaks: Valencia W2, Milan L6). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 20% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects Valencia 95 – 83 Milan, a margin of about 12.2 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Milan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MILVBC
Recent form
MIL
75-80L
81-89L
97-101L
89-98L
79-97VBC
86-78W
104-93L88-91L
97-102W
93-82Team comparison
| MIL | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 6-2 |
| 84.3 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 89.1 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L6 | Current streak | W2 |
| 1-7 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 0-4 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 17-21 (-1.2) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.