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Paris vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 5

Thu, Nov 5 · 12:15 PM ETTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
43% win PBBwin EFS 57%
FavoriteEFS
Projected margin2.2
Projected total174
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host Paris Basketball (2-6) on Thursday, November 5 at 12:15 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Anadolu Efes Istanbul a 57% chance to win and projects a 86-88 score (Paris – Anadolu Efes), about 174 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and Paris Basketball are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 2-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Paris W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Anadolu Efes 88 – 86 Paris, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of Anadolu Efes and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (88.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Anadolu Efes' defense allows clearly fewer points (86.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Anadolu Efes
Team strength (adjusted point differential)EFS -3.9 / PBB -2.8 per game
-1.0
Home-court advantageAnadolu Efes at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Anadolu Efes
+2.2

Scenarios

Anadolu Efes win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Paris win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBEFS
88.5
Points scored / game
81.9
91.8
Points allowed / game
86.4
-2.8
Adjusted margin / game
-3.9
25 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
2
1
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne96-98
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89

Team comparison

PBBEFS
2-6Record3-5
88.5Points scored / game81.9
91.8Points allowed / game86.4
-2.8Adjusted margin / game-3.9
W1Current streakL1
2-6Last 10 games3-5
1-2 roadHome / road record2-1 home
15-23 (-0.9)Last season12-26 (-4.2)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.