Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Anadolu Efes vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, April 6

Tue, Apr 6 · 2:45 PM ETADIDAS ARENA
36% win EFSwin PBB 64%
FavoritePBB
Projected margin4.2
Projected total174
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Paris Basketball (2-6) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Tuesday, April 6 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Paris Basketball a 64% chance to win and projects a 85-89 score (Anadolu Efes – Paris), about 174 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-6 for Paris Basketball and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Paris W1, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Paris, but Anadolu Efes has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Paris 89 – 85 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of Paris and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Paris' offense (88.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Anadolu Efes' defense allows clearly fewer points (86.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Paris
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PBB -2.8 / EFS -3.9 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantageParis at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Paris
+4.2

Scenarios

Paris win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
32%
Anadolu Efes win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

EFSPBB
81.9
Points scored / game
88.5
86.4
Points allowed / game
91.8
-3.9
Adjusted margin / game
-2.8
38 %
Win %
25 %
2
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
EFS
LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv88-118WBesiktas Istanbul89-80WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89
PBB
WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne96-98

Team comparison

EFSPBB
3-5Record2-6
81.9Points scored / game88.5
86.4Points allowed / game91.8
-3.9Adjusted margin / game-2.8
L1Current streakW1
3-5Last 10 games2-6
1-4 roadHome / road record1-4 home
12-26 (-4.2)Last season15-23 (-0.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.