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Bayern Munich vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 5

Thu, Nov 5 · 2:00 PM ETLDLC ARENA
42% win BAYwin ASV 58%
FavoriteASV
Projected margin2.2
Projected total173
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host FC Bayern Munich (2-7) on Thursday, November 5 at 2:00 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne a 58% chance to win and projects a 85-88 score (Bayern Munich – LDLC ASVEL), about 173 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and FC Bayern Munich are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 2-7 for FC Bayern Munich (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Bayern Munich L4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 88 – 85 Bayern Munich, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of LDLC ASVEL and a total around 173 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Bayern Munich needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / BAY -5.2 per game
-1.0
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
+2.2

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Bayern Munich win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BAYASV
83.3
Points scored / game
83.0
89.4
Points allowed / game
90.3
-5.2
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2
22 %
Win %
38 %
0
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BAY
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade73-103LFC Barcelona84-88LDubai Basketball91-107LBesiktas Istanbul87-95WAnadolu Efes Istanbul101-93
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96

Team comparison

BAYASV
2-7Record3-5
83.3Points scored / game83.0
89.4Points allowed / game90.3
-5.2Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L4Current streakW1
2-7Last 10 games3-5
2-3 roadHome / road record2-2 home
17-21 (-2.9)Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.