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FC Barcelona vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, November 5

Thu, Nov 5 · 1:45 PM ETARENA 8888 SOFIA
30% win BARwin HTA 70%
FavoriteHTA
Projected margin5.9
Projected total174
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host FC Barcelona (5-3) on Thursday, November 5 at 1:45 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 70% chance to win and projects a 84-90 score (FC Barcelona – Hapoel TLV), about 174 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and FC Barcelona are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 5-3 for FC Barcelona (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, FC Barcelona W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Hapoel TLV, but FC Barcelona has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Hapoel TLV 90 – 84 FC Barcelona, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • FC Barcelona needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hapoel TLV
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HTA +3.9 / BAR +1.2 per game
+2.7
Home-court advantageHapoel TLV at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Hapoel TLV
+5.9

Scenarios

Hapoel TLV win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
FC Barcelona win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BARHTA
87.1
Points scored / game
90.4
85.7
Points allowed / game
85.8
1.2
Adjusted margin / game
3.9
63 %
Win %
75 %
2
Home wins
4
3
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BAR
WFC Bayern Munich88-84WArmani Olimpia Milan89-81LOlympiacos Piraeus100-105WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv90-87LZalgiris Kaunas81-88
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93

Team comparison

BARHTA
5-3Record6-2
87.1Points scored / game90.4
85.7Points allowed / game85.8
+1.2Adjusted margin / game+3.9
W2Current streakW4
5-3Last 10 games6-2
3-1 roadHome / road record4-1 home
22-18 (+0.8)Last season24-18 (+1.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.