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Hapoel TLV vs FC Barcelona prediction EuroLeague · Friday, March 19

Fri, Mar 19 · 3:30 PM ETPALAU BLAUGRANA
48% win HTAwin BAR 52%
FavoriteBAR
Projected margin0.5
Projected total174
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

FC Barcelona (5-3) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Friday, March 19 at 3:30 PM ET at PALAU BLAUGRANA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives FC Barcelona a 52% chance to win and projects a 87-88 score (Hapoel TLV – FC Barcelona), about 174 total points. This season, FC Barcelona are 2-2 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for FC Barcelona and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: FC Barcelona W2, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects FC Barcelona 88 – 87 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 0.5 points in favor of FC Barcelona and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Hapoel TLV needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge FC Barcelona
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BAR +1.2 / HTA +3.9 per game
-2.7
Home-court advantageFC Barcelona at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor FC Barcelona
+0.5

Scenarios

FC Barcelona win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Hapoel TLV win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

HTABAR
90.4
Points scored / game
87.1
85.8
Points allowed / game
85.7
3.9
Adjusted margin / game
1.2
75 %
Win %
63 %
4
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93
BAR
WFC Bayern Munich88-84WArmani Olimpia Milan89-81LOlympiacos Piraeus100-105WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv90-87LZalgiris Kaunas81-88

Team comparison

HTABAR
6-2Record5-3
90.4Points scored / game87.1
85.8Points allowed / game85.7
+3.9Adjusted margin / game+1.2
W4Current streakW2
6-2Last 10 games5-3
2-1 roadHome / road record2-2 home
24-18 (+1.9)Last season22-18 (+0.8)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.