Virtus Bologna vs Fenerbahce prediction EuroLeague · Friday, September 25
At a glance
Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul host Virtus Bologna on Friday, September 25 at 1:45 PM ET at ULKER SPORTS AND EVENT HALL in EuroLeague action. Final score: Virtus Bologna 68 – Fenerbahce 78. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul a 76% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
On paper, Fenerbahce dominates this matchup. The model projects Fenerbahce 87 – 79 Virtus Bologna, a margin of about 8.3 points in favor of Fenerbahce and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+1.2 vs -3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Virtus Bologna needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (80.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VIRFBT
Early season: the numbers also lean on last season.
Recent form
VIRFBTTeam comparison
| VIR | FBT | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 81.8 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 86.4 | Points allowed / game | 80.5 |
| -3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.2 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 14-24 (-4.6) | Last season | 27-16 (+1.4) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.