Panathinaikos vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 30
At a glance
Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Friday, October 30 at 1:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 72% chance to win and projects a 87-80 score (Panathinaikos – Anadolu Efes), about 167 total points. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 2-1 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Anadolu Efes L1, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Anadolu Efes 80 – 87 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-3.9 vs +6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (86.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOEFS
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L
81-91W
72-55W
92-74
EFS
88-118W
89-80W
85-70L
93-101L
66-89Team comparison
| PAO | EFS | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 3-5 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 81.9 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 86.4 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 12-26 (-4.2) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.