Anadolu Efes vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, January 29
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) host Anadolu Efes Istanbul (3-5) on Friday, January 29 at 2:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 87% chance to win and projects a 77-90 score (Anadolu Efes – Panathinaikos), about 167 total points. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 6-1 at home and Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 3-5 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul (current streaks: Panathinaikos W2, Anadolu Efes L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 18% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Panathinaikos 90 – 77 Anadolu Efes, a margin of about 13.1 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+6.1 vs -3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Anadolu Efes needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' offense (86.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
EFSPAO
Recent form
EFS
88-118W
89-80W
85-70L
93-101L
66-89PAO
80-75W
85-79L81-91W
72-55W
92-74Team comparison
| EFS | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 7-1 |
| 81.9 | Points scored / game | 86.6 |
| 86.4 | Points allowed / game | 79.5 |
| -3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 7-1 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 6-1 home |
| 12-26 (-4.2) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.