Partizan vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 30
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Friday, October 30 at 2:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 75% chance to win and projects a 79-87 score (Partizan – Zalgiris), about 167 total points. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 1-2 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Zalgiris W2, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 27% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Zalgiris starts with a clear edge. The model projects Zalgiris 87 – 79 Partizan, a margin of about 7.9 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+2.2 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARZAL
Recent form
PAR
75-82W
85-82L
65-74L
55-72L
76-86ZAL
91-74W105-85L
70-85L80-99W
88-81Team comparison
| PAR | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 4-4 |
| 79.9 | Points scored / game | 86.4 |
| 83.0 | Points allowed / game | 83.8 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +2.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 1-2 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.