Zalgiris vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, December 29
At a glance
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Tuesday, December 29 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 55% chance to win and projects a 84-83 score (Zalgiris – Partizan), about 167 total points. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-1 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: Partizan L1, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Partizan 83 – 84 Zalgiris, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 167 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.6 vs +2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALPAR
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W
105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81PAR75-82W
85-82L65-74L
55-72L
76-86Team comparison
| ZAL | PAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 4-4 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 79.9 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 83.0 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 4-4 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 2-1 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 16-22 (-4.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.