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Baskonia vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 30

Fri, Oct 30 · 3:00 PM ETLDLC ARENA
38% win KBAwin ASV 62%
FavoriteASV
Projected margin3.5
Projected total176
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) on Friday, October 30 at 3:00 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne a 62% chance to win and projects a 86-90 score (Baskonia – LDLC ASVEL), about 176 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 0-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Baskonia L5). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 32% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to LDLC ASVEL, but Baskonia has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 90 – 86 Baskonia, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of LDLC ASVEL and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Baskonia needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • LDLC ASVEL's defense allows clearly fewer points (90.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge LDLC ASVEL
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ASV -6.2 / KBA -6.5 per game
+0.3
Home-court advantageLDLC ASVEL at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor LDLC ASVEL
+3.5

Scenarios

LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
32%
Baskonia win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

KBAASV
86.0
Points scored / game
83.0
93.6
Points allowed / game
90.3
-6.5
Adjusted margin / game
-6.2
13 %
Win %
38 %
1
Home wins
2
0
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
KBA
LReal Madrid86-104LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens79-85LVirtus Bologna78-86LDubai Basketball79-93LBesiktas Istanbul84-92
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96

Team comparison

KBAASV
1-7Record3-5
86.0Points scored / game83.0
93.6Points allowed / game90.3
-6.5Adjusted margin / game-6.2
L5Current streakW1
1-7Last 10 games3-5
0-3 roadHome / road record2-2 home
13-25 (-4.7)Last season8-30 (-7.3)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.