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LDLC ASVEL vs Baskonia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, April 6

Tue, Apr 6 · 2:30 PM ETBUESA ARENA
40% win ASVwin KBA 60%
FavoriteKBA
Projected margin2.9
Projected total176
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz (1-7) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) on Tuesday, April 6 at 2:30 PM ET at BUESA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz a 60% chance to win and projects a 87-90 score (LDLC ASVEL – Baskonia), about 176 total points. This season, Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz are 1-4 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-7 for Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz and 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Baskonia L5, LDLC ASVEL W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

Slight edge to Baskonia, but LDLC ASVEL has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Baskonia 90 – 87 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of Baskonia and a total around 176 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • LDLC ASVEL's defense allows clearly fewer points (90.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Baskonia
Team strength (adjusted point differential)KBA -6.5 / ASV -6.2 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageBaskonia at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Baskonia
+2.9

Scenarios

Baskonia win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
LDLC ASVEL win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

ASVKBA
83.0
Points scored / game
86.0
90.3
Points allowed / game
93.6
-6.2
Adjusted margin / game
-6.5
38 %
Win %
13 %
2
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
0

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
ASV
WPartizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade82-75LZalgiris Kaunas85-105LReal Madrid92-111LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade82-84WParis Basketball98-96
KBA
LReal Madrid86-104LPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens79-85LVirtus Bologna78-86LDubai Basketball79-93LBesiktas Istanbul84-92

Team comparison

ASVKBA
3-5Record1-7
83.0Points scored / game86.0
90.3Points allowed / game93.6
-6.2Adjusted margin / game-6.5
W1Current streakL5
3-5Last 10 games1-7
1-3 roadHome / road record1-4 home
8-30 (-7.3)Last season13-25 (-4.7)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.