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Hapoel TLV vs Dubai prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 30

Fri, Oct 30 · 12:00 PM ETCOCA-COLA ARENA
51% win HTAwin DUB 49%
FavoriteHTA
Projected margin0.3
Projected total175
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Dubai Basketball (5-3) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) on Friday, October 30 at 12:00 PM ET at COCA-COLA ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 51% chance to win and projects a 88-87 score (Hapoel TLV – Dubai), about 175 total points. This season, Dubai Basketball are 2-2 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Dubai Basketball and 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Dubai L1, Hapoel TLV W4). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 34% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Dubai 87 – 88 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Dubai
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DUB +0.4 / HTA +3.9 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageDubai at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Dubai
-0.3

Scenarios

Dubai win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Hapoel TLV win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

HTADUB
90.4
Points scored / game
87.2
85.8
Points allowed / game
86.7
3.9
Adjusted margin / game
0.4
75 %
Win %
63 %
4
Home wins
2
2
Road wins
3

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77

Team comparison

HTADUB
6-2Record5-3
90.4Points scored / game87.2
85.8Points allowed / game86.7
+3.9Adjusted margin / game+0.4
W4Current streakL1
6-2Last 10 games5-3
2-1 roadHome / road record2-2 home
24-18 (+1.9)Last season19-19 (+0.1)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.