Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Dubai vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 25

Thu, Mar 25 · 2:00 PM ETARENA 8888 SOFIA
28% win DUBwin HTA 72%
FavoriteHTA
Projected margin6.7
Projected total175
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Dubai Basketball (5-3) on Thursday, March 25 at 2:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 72% chance to win and projects a 84-91 score (Dubai – Hapoel TLV), about 175 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Dubai Basketball are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 5-3 for Dubai Basketball (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Dubai L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 29% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.

The analysis Model

On paper, Hapoel TLV dominates this matchup. The model projects Hapoel TLV 91 – 84 Dubai, a margin of about 6.7 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Dubai needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hapoel TLV
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HTA +3.9 / DUB +0.4 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantageHapoel TLV at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Hapoel TLV
+6.7

Scenarios

Hapoel TLV win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Dubai win by 10+
7%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

DUBHTA
87.2
Points scored / game
90.4
86.7
Points allowed / game
85.8
0.4
Adjusted margin / game
3.9
63 %
Win %
75 %
2
Home wins
4
3
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
DUB
LParis Basketball93-99WFC Bayern Munich107-91WArmani Olimpia Milan101-97WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz93-79LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade58-77
HTA
WAnadolu Efes Istanbul118-88WVirtus Bologna90-81WPanathinaikos AKTOR Athens91-81WBesiktas Istanbul100-82LValencia Basket82-93

Team comparison

DUBHTA
5-3Record6-2
87.2Points scored / game90.4
86.7Points allowed / game85.8
+0.4Adjusted margin / game+3.9
L1Current streakW4
5-3Last 10 games6-2
3-1 roadHome / road record4-1 home
19-19 (+0.1)Last season24-18 (+1.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.