Fenerbahce vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 29
At a glance
Real Madrid (5-3) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-2) on Thursday, October 29 at 3:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 67% chance to win and projects a 82-87 score (Fenerbahce – Real Madrid), about 169 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 2-0 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-3 for Real Madrid and 6-2 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Real Madrid W5, Fenerbahce L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Real Madrid, but Fenerbahce has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Real Madrid 87 – 82 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 169 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (77.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTRMB
Recent form
FBT
78-86W
64-61W
74-65W
99-80L
74-92RMB
104-86W
113-99W
111-92W
98-89W86-76Team comparison
| FBT | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-2 | Record | 5-3 |
| 81.1 | Points scored / game | 92.2 |
| 77.4 | Points allowed / game | 86.3 |
| +3.2 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.1 |
| L1 | Current streak | W5 |
| 6-2 | Last 10 games | 5-3 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 2-0 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.