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Paris vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 29

Thu, Oct 29 · 3:05 PM ETALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL
45% win PBBwin MTA 55%
FavoriteMTA
Projected margin1.4
Projected total181
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-6) host Paris Basketball (2-6) on Thursday, October 29 at 3:05 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv a 55% chance to win and projects a 90-91 score (Paris – Maccabi), about 181 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-2 at home and Paris Basketball are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-6 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 2-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Maccabi L2, Paris W1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Maccabi 91 – 90 Paris, a margin of about 1.4 points in favor of Maccabi and a total around 181 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Maccabi
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MTA -4.6 / PBB -2.8 per game
-1.8
Home-court advantageMaccabi at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Maccabi
+1.4

Scenarios

Maccabi win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
33%
Paris win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

PBBMTA
88.5
Points scored / game
87.9
91.8
Points allowed / game
93.4
-2.8
Adjusted margin / game
-4.6
25 %
Win %
25 %
1
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
PBB
WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96LLDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne96-98
MTA
LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90WArmani Olimpia Milan97-79

Team comparison

PBBMTA
2-6Record2-6
88.5Points scored / game87.9
91.8Points allowed / game93.4
-2.8Adjusted margin / game-4.6
W1Current streakL2
2-6Last 10 games2-6
1-2 roadHome / road record1-2 home
15-23 (-0.9)Last season18-20 (-2.5)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.