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Maccabi vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, March 4

Thu, Mar 4 · 2:45 PM ETADIDAS ARENA
32% win MTAwin PBB 68%
FavoritePBB
Projected margin5.4
Projected total182
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

Paris Basketball (3-6) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Thursday, March 4 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Paris Basketball a 68% chance to win and projects a 88-93 score (Maccabi – Paris), about 182 total points. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-4 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-6 for Paris Basketball and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Paris W2, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.

The analysis Model

Paris is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Paris 93 – 88 Maccabi, a margin of about 5.4 points in favor of Paris and a total around 182 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Paris
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PBB -2.4 / MTA -4.6 per game
+2.2
Home-court advantageParis at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Paris
+5.4

Scenarios

Paris win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Maccabi win by 10+
9%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

MTAPBB
88.3
Points scored / game
89.1
93.7
Points allowed / game
92.0
-4.6
Adjusted margin / game
-2.4
22 %
Win %
33 %
1
Home wins
1
1
Road wins
2

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
MTA
LParis Basketball94-99LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade78-100LReal Madrid99-113WValencia Basket91-88LFC Barcelona87-90
PBB
WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv99-94WDubai Basketball99-93LValencia Basket93-104LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade81-90LVirtus Bologna94-96

Team comparison

MTAPBB
2-7Record3-6
88.3Points scored / game89.1
93.7Points allowed / game92.0
-4.6Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L3Current streakW2
2-7Last 10 games3-6
1-4 roadHome / road record1-4 home
18-20 (-2.5)Last season15-23 (-0.9)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.