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Valencia vs Besiktas prediction EuroLeague · Friday, September 25

FinalTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
51% win VBCwin BJK 49%
FavoriteVBC
Projected margin0.3
Projected total172
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Besiktas Istanbul host Valencia Basket on Friday, September 25 at 1:00 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. Final score: Valencia 96 – Besiktas 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Valencia Basket a 51% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Besiktas 86 – 87 Valencia, a margin of about 0.3 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 172 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Valencia's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Besiktas
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BJK 0.0 / VBC +3.5 per game
-3.5
Home-court advantageBesiktas at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Besiktas
-0.3

Scenarios

Besiktas win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Valencia win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

VBCBJK
90.4
Points scored / game
84.0
86.3
Points allowed / game
84.0
3.5
Adjusted margin / game
0.0

Early season: the numbers also lean on last season.

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
VBC
No games played yet.
BJK
No games played yet.

Team comparison

VBCBJK
0-0Record0-0
90.4Points scored / game84.0
86.3Points allowed / game84.0
+3.5Adjusted margin / game0.0
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
28-16 (+4.1)Last season–

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.