Besiktas vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Wednesday, March 24
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-5) on Wednesday, March 24 at 3:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 79% chance to win and projects a 84-93 score (Besiktas – Valencia), about 178 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 3-5 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Valencia W2, Besiktas L2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 25% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
On paper, Valencia dominates this matchup. The model projects Valencia 93 – 84 Besiktas, a margin of about 9.1 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 178 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -1.0 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
BJKVBC
Recent form
BJK
73-81L
80-89W
95-87L
82-100W
92-84VBC
86-78W
104-93L
88-91L97-102W93-82Head-to-head
Team comparison
| BJK | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-5 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.2 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 87.3 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| -1.0 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| L2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-5 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| – | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.