Fenerbahce vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 27
At a glance
Valencia Basket (5-2) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (6-1) on Tuesday, October 27 at 3:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Fenerbahce 78 – Valencia 86. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Valencia Basket a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Valencia Basket are 2-2 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-2 for Valencia Basket and 6-1 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Valencia W1, Fenerbahce W3).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Valencia, but Fenerbahce has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Valencia 87 – 83 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 4.1 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (94.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (76.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTVBC
Recent form
FBT
64-61W
74-65W
99-80L
74-92W
76-66VBC
104-93L
88-91L97-102W
93-82W
105-92Team comparison
| FBT | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 5-2 |
| 81.4 | Points scored / game | 94.5 |
| 76.8 | Points allowed / game | 88.8 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.8 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-1 | Last 10 games | 5-2 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.