Maccabi vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, October 27
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (4-3) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-5) on Tuesday, October 27 at 3:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Maccabi 78 – Crvena Zvezda 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-2 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 2-5 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda L1, Maccabi L1).
The analysis Model
On paper, Crvena Zvezda dominates this matchup. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 91 – 83 Maccabi, a margin of about 8.8 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 174 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+1.9 vs -3.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Maccabi's offense (88.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (82.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MTACZVRecent form
MTA
99-113W
91-88L
87-90W
97-79L
67-90CZV
82-85W
90-81W
84-82W
77-58W
77-72Team comparison
| MTA | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-5 | Record | 4-3 |
| 88.6 | Points scored / game | 84.3 |
| 93.0 | Points allowed / game | 82.0 |
| -3.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.9 |
| L1 | Current streak | L1 |
| 2-5 | Last 10 games | 4-3 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 18-20 (-2.5) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.