Crvena Zvezda vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, March 9
At a glance
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) on Tuesday, March 9 at 2:05 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 69% chance to win and projects a 90-85 score (Crvena Zvezda – Maccabi), about 175 total points. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-3 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Maccabi L3, Crvena Zvezda W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 30% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Crvena Zvezda, but Maccabi has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Maccabi 85 – 90 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 175 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-4.6 vs +4.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's defense allows clearly fewer points (81.3 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVMTA
Recent form
CZV
103-73W100-78L
82-85W
90-81W
84-82MTA94-99L78-100L
99-113W
91-88L
87-90Team comparison
| CZV | MTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 2-7 |
| 86.3 | Points scored / game | 88.3 |
| 81.3 | Points allowed / game | 93.7 |
| +4.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.6 |
| W2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 6-3 | Last 10 games | 2-7 |
| 2-1 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 18-20 (-2.5) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.