Fenerbahce vs Olympiacos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 23
At a glance
Olympiacos Piraeus (5-1) host Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (5-1) on Friday, October 23 at 2:15 PM ET at SUNEL ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Fenerbahce 64 – Olympiacos 61. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Olympiacos Piraeus a 71% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Olympiacos Piraeus are 1-0 at home and Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul are 0-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-1 for Olympiacos Piraeus and 5-1 for Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul (current streaks: Olympiacos W3, Fenerbahce W2).
The analysis Model
Olympiacos is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Olympiacos 88 – 82 Fenerbahce, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of Olympiacos and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Fenerbahce needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Olympiacos' offense (93.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Fenerbahce's defense allows clearly fewer points (77.9 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
FBTOLY
Recent form
FBT
74-65W
99-80L
74-92W
76-66W
100-76OLY
105-100W
102-97W
89-66L
94-96W93-91Team comparison
| FBT | OLY | |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 5-1 |
| 82.6 | Points scored / game | 93.8 |
| 77.9 | Points allowed / game | 85.6 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | +6.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W3 |
| 5-1 | Last 10 games | 5-1 |
| 0-1 road | Home / road record | 1-0 home |
| 27-16 (+1.4) | Last season | 31-12 (+8.0) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.