Valencia vs Paris prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 23
At a glance
Paris Basketball (1-5) host Valencia Basket (4-2) on Friday, October 23 at 2:45 PM ET at ADIDAS ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Valencia 104 – Paris 93. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Valencia Basket a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Paris Basketball are 1-3 at home and Valencia Basket are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 1-5 for Paris Basketball and 4-2 for Valencia Basket (current streaks: Paris L3, Valencia L2).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Valencia, but Paris has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Paris 88 – 92 Valencia, a margin of about 4.2 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 180 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-2.9 vs +4.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.8 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
VBCPBB
Recent form
VBC
88-91L
97-102W
93-82W
105-92W
111-88PBB
81-90L
94-96L96-98W
82-78L
79-92Team comparison
| VBC | PBB | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 1-5 |
| 93.8 | Points scored / game | 87.5 |
| 88.5 | Points allowed / game | 90.9 |
| +4.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.9 |
| L2 | Current streak | L3 |
| 4-2 | Last 10 games | 1-5 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-3 home |
| 28-16 (+4.1) | Last season | 15-23 (-0.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.