Paris vs Valencia prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, February 11
At a glance
Valencia Basket (6-2) host Paris Basketball (3-6) on Thursday, February 11 at 2:30 PM ET at ROIG ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Valencia Basket a 82% chance to win and projects a 86-96 score (Paris – Valencia), about 182 total points. This season, Valencia Basket are 3-2 at home and Paris Basketball are 2-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Valencia Basket and 3-6 for Paris Basketball (current streaks: Valencia W2, Paris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Valencia starts with a clear edge. The model projects Valencia 96 – 86 Paris, a margin of about 10.5 points in favor of Valencia and a total around 182 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+4.9 vs -2.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Paris needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Valencia's offense (93.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Valencia's defense allows clearly fewer points (88.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PBBVBC
Recent form
PBB
99-94W
99-93L93-104L
81-90L
94-96VBC
86-78W104-93L88-91L
97-102W
93-82Team comparison
| PBB | VBC | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-6 | Record | 6-2 |
| 89.1 | Points scored / game | 93.9 |
| 92.0 | Points allowed / game | 88.1 |
| -2.4 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W2 |
| 3-6 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 3-2 home |
| 15-23 (-0.9) | Last season | 28-16 (+4.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.