LDLC ASVEL vs Zalgiris prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 23
At a glance
Zalgiris Kaunas (2-4) host LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (2-4) on Friday, October 23 at 1:00 PM ET at ZALGIRIO ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: LDLC ASVEL 85 – Zalgiris 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Zalgiris Kaunas a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Zalgiris Kaunas are 0-2 at home and LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 1-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas and 2-4 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (current streaks: Zalgiris L2, LDLC ASVEL L2).
The analysis Model
Zalgiris starts with a clear edge. The model projects Zalgiris 90 – 81 LDLC ASVEL, a margin of about 9.7 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+0.2 vs -6.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (84.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ASVZAL
Recent form
ASV
92-111L
82-84W
98-96L
92-105L
79-102ZAL
70-85L
80-99W
88-81L78-82L
91-93Team comparison
| ASV | ZAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 2-4 |
| 82.9 | Points scored / game | 84.7 |
| 90.3 | Points allowed / game | 84.5 |
| -6.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.2 |
| L2 | Current streak | L2 |
| 2-4 | Last 10 games | 2-4 |
| 1-2 road | Home / road record | 0-2 home |
| 8-30 (-7.3) | Last season | 24-18 (+3.8) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.