Zalgiris vs LDLC ASVEL prediction EuroLeague · Tuesday, January 12
At a glance
LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne (3-5) host Zalgiris Kaunas (4-4) on Tuesday, January 12 at 2:00 PM ET at LDLC ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Zalgiris Kaunas a 67% chance to win and projects a 88-83 score (Zalgiris – LDLC ASVEL), about 172 total points. This season, LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne are 2-2 at home and Zalgiris Kaunas are 3-2 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-5 for LDLC ASVEL Villeurbanne and 4-4 for Zalgiris Kaunas (current streaks: LDLC ASVEL W1, Zalgiris W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 31% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: medium.
The analysis Model
Slight edge to Zalgiris, but LDLC ASVEL has what it takes to keep it close. The model projects LDLC ASVEL 83 – 88 Zalgiris, a margin of about 5.1 points in favor of Zalgiris and a total around 172 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-6.2 vs +2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- LDLC ASVEL needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Zalgiris' offense (86.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Zalgiris' defense allows clearly fewer points (83.8 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
ZALASV
Recent form
ZAL
91-74W105-85L
70-85L
80-99W
88-81ASV
82-75L85-105L
92-111L
82-84W
98-96Team comparison
| ZAL | ASV | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 3-5 |
| 86.4 | Points scored / game | 83.0 |
| 83.8 | Points allowed / game | 90.3 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.2 |
| W2 | Current streak | W1 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 3-5 |
| 3-2 road | Home / road record | 2-2 home |
| 24-18 (+3.8) | Last season | 8-30 (-7.3) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.