Crvena Zvezda vs Partizan prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 22
At a glance
Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (3-3) host Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (4-2) on Thursday, October 22 at 2:45 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. Final score: Crvena Zvezda 82 – Partizan 85. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 56% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 1-1 at home and Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 2-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 3-3 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade and 4-2 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (current streaks: Partizan L3, Crvena Zvezda W4).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Partizan 81 – 83 Crvena Zvezda, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (-2.7 vs +2.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (84.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
CZVPARRecent form
CZV
90-81W
84-82W
77-58W
77-72L
80-81PAR
65-74L
55-72L
76-86W
86-84W92-79Team comparison
| CZV | PAR | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-2 | Record | 3-3 |
| 84.4 | Points scored / game | 79.9 |
| 81.8 | Points allowed / game | 83.1 |
| +2.2 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.7 |
| W4 | Current streak | L3 |
| 4-2 | Last 10 games | 3-3 |
| 2-0 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 21-18 (+1.1) | Last season | 16-22 (-4.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.