Partizan vs Crvena Zvezda prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, February 11
At a glance
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade (6-3) host Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (4-4) on Thursday, February 11 at 2:00 PM ET at BELGRADE ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade a 81% chance to win and projects a 78-88 score (Partizan – Crvena Zvezda), about 165 total points. This season, Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade are 4-2 at home and Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade are 2-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade and 4-4 for Partizan Mozzart Bet Belgrade (current streaks: Crvena Zvezda W2, Partizan L1). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 23% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Crvena Zvezda starts with a clear edge. The model projects Crvena Zvezda 88 – 78 Partizan, a margin of about 10.1 points in favor of Crvena Zvezda and a total around 165 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+4.3 vs -2.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Partizan needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Crvena Zvezda's offense (86.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PARCZVRecent form
PAR
75-82W85-82L
65-74L
55-72L
76-86CZV
103-73W
100-78L82-85W
90-81W84-82Team comparison
| PAR | CZV | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 6-3 |
| 79.9 | Points scored / game | 86.3 |
| 83.0 | Points allowed / game | 81.3 |
| -2.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.3 |
| L1 | Current streak | W2 |
| 4-4 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 2-3 road | Home / road record | 4-2 home |
| 16-22 (-4.9) | Last season | 21-18 (+1.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.