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Besiktas vs Anadolu Efes prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 22

FinalTURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER
50% win BJKwin EFS 50%
FavoriteEFS
Projected margin0.1
Projected total170
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

Anadolu Efes Istanbul (2-4) host Besiktas Istanbul (3-3) on Thursday, October 22 at 1:30 PM ET at TURKCELL BASKETBALL DEVELOPMENT CENTER in EuroLeague action. Final score: Besiktas 80 – Anadolu Efes 89. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Anadolu Efes Istanbul a 50% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Anadolu Efes Istanbul are 1-1 at home and Besiktas Istanbul are 2-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-4 for Anadolu Efes Istanbul and 3-3 for Besiktas Istanbul (current streaks: Anadolu Efes W1, Besiktas W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Anadolu Efes 86 – 85 Besiktas, a margin of about 0.1 points in favor of Anadolu Efes and a total around 170 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.

  • Besiktas needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • Besiktas' offense (87.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • Anadolu Efes' defense allows clearly fewer points (84.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Anadolu Efes
Team strength (adjusted point differential)EFS -3.2 / BJK -0.1 per game
-3.1
Home-court advantageAnadolu Efes at home (very strong in Europe)
+3.2
Expected marginfor Anadolu Efes
+0.1

Scenarios

Anadolu Efes win by 10+
19%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
34%
Besiktas win by 10+
19%

Stat comparison EuroLeague

BJKEFS
87.6
Points scored / game
80.9
87.6
Points allowed / game
84.6
-0.1
Adjusted margin / game
-3.2
50 %
Win %
33 %
1
Home wins
1
2
Road wins
1

Recent form

Last 5 EuroLeague games
BJK
WFC Bayern Munich95-87LHapoel IBI Tel Aviv82-100WKosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz92-84LFC Barcelona82-95WMaccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv109-93
EFS
WZalgiris Kaunas85-70LFC Bayern Munich93-101LOlympiacos Piraeus66-89LCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet Belgrade72-77WReal Madrid94-84

Team comparison

BJKEFS
3-3Record2-4
87.6Points scored / game80.9
87.6Points allowed / game84.6
-0.1Adjusted margin / game-3.2
W1Current streakW1
3-3Last 10 games2-4
2-1 roadHome / road record1-1 home
–Last season12-26 (-4.2)

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.