Real Madrid vs Maccabi prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, October 22
At a glance
Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-4) host Real Madrid (3-3) on Thursday, October 22 at 2:05 PM ET at ALEKSANDAR NIKOLIC HALL in EuroLeague action. Final score: Real Madrid 113 – Maccabi 99. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Real Madrid a 63% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-1 at home and Real Madrid are 1-3 on the road. Since the start of the season: 2-4 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv and 3-3 for Real Madrid (current streaks: Maccabi W1, Real Madrid W3).
The analysis Model
Real Madrid is favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Maccabi 87 – 91 Real Madrid, a margin of about 3.8 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 177 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (-3.1 vs +3.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
RMBMTA
Recent form
RMB
111-92W
98-89W
86-76L
98-102L
84-94MTA
91-88L
87-90W97-79L
67-90L
93-109Team comparison
| RMB | MTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 2-4 |
| 89.9 | Points scored / game | 87.9 |
| 85.4 | Points allowed / game | 91.5 |
| +3.9 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.1 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 3-3 | Last 10 games | 2-4 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 1-1 home |
| 28-16 (+5.1) | Last season | 18-20 (-2.5) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.