Maccabi vs Real Madrid prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 21
At a glance
Real Madrid (6-3) host Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (2-7) on Thursday, January 21 at 2:45 PM ET at MOVISTAR ARENA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Real Madrid a 88% chance to win and projects a 83-97 score (Maccabi – Real Madrid), about 180 total points. This season, Real Madrid are 3-0 at home and Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv are 1-4 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-3 for Real Madrid and 2-7 for Maccabi Rapyd Tel Aviv (current streaks: Real Madrid W6, Maccabi L3). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 18% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: high.
The analysis Model
Real Madrid starts with a clear edge. The model projects Real Madrid 97 – 83 Maccabi, a margin of about 13.5 points in favor of Real Madrid and a total around 180 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.
- The overall strength gap (+5.7 vs -4.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Maccabi needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Real Madrid's offense (92.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Real Madrid's defense allows clearly fewer points (85.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
MTARMB
Recent form
MTA
94-99L
78-100L99-113W
91-88L
87-90RMB
95-76W
104-86W113-99W
111-92W
98-89Team comparison
| MTA | RMB | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 6-3 |
| 88.3 | Points scored / game | 92.4 |
| 93.7 | Points allowed / game | 85.6 |
| -4.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +5.7 |
| L3 | Current streak | W6 |
| 2-7 | Last 10 games | 6-3 |
| 1-4 road | Home / road record | 3-0 home |
| 18-20 (-2.5) | Last season | 28-16 (+5.1) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.