Hapoel TLV vs Panathinaikos prediction EuroLeague · Friday, October 16
At a glance
Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (5-0) host Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (3-2) on Friday, October 16 at 2:15 PM ET at TELEKOM CENTER ATHENS in EuroLeague action. Final score: Hapoel TLV 91 – Panathinaikos 81. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens a 78% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 4-0 at home and Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 1-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 5-0 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens and 3-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (current streaks: Panathinaikos W5, Hapoel TLV W1).
The analysis Model
Panathinaikos starts with a clear edge. The model projects Panathinaikos 90 – 81 Hapoel TLV, a margin of about 9.0 points in favor of Panathinaikos and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- The overall strength gap (+7.4 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- Hapoel TLV needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
HTAPAO
Recent form
HTA
100-82L
82-93W
102-98W
81-80L
84-86PAO
72-55W
92-74W
90-67W
102-79W
91-72Team comparison
| HTA | PAO | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | Record | 5-0 |
| 88.3 | Points scored / game | 87.7 |
| 86.3 | Points allowed / game | 79.0 |
| +1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +7.4 |
| W1 | Current streak | W5 |
| 3-2 | Last 10 games | 5-0 |
| 1-1 road | Home / road record | 4-0 home |
| 24-18 (+1.9) | Last season | 25-19 (+1.7) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.