Panathinaikos vs Hapoel TLV prediction EuroLeague · Thursday, January 21
At a glance
Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv (6-2) host Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (7-1) on Thursday, January 21 at 12:00 PM ET at ARENA 8888 SOFIA in EuroLeague action. The Basketlog model gives Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv a 54% chance to win and projects a 85-86 score (Panathinaikos – Hapoel TLV), about 171 total points. This season, Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv are 4-1 at home and Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens are 1-0 on the road. Since the start of the season: 6-2 for Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv and 7-1 for Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens (current streaks: Hapoel TLV W4, Panathinaikos W2). A close game (margin of 5 points or fewer) happens in only 33% of cases according to the model. Prediction confidence: low.
The analysis Model
Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hapoel TLV 86 – 85 Panathinaikos, a margin of about 1.1 points in favor of Hapoel TLV and a total around 171 points. Expect a game at a typical EuroLeague pace.
- Panathinaikos needs to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- Hapoel TLV's offense (90.4 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- Panathinaikos' defense allows clearly fewer points (79.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison EuroLeague
PAOHTA
Recent form
PAO
80-75W
85-79L81-91W
72-55W
92-74HTA
118-88W
90-81W91-81W
100-82L
82-93Team comparison
| PAO | HTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 6-2 |
| 86.6 | Points scored / game | 90.4 |
| 79.5 | Points allowed / game | 85.8 |
| +6.1 | Adjusted margin / game | +3.9 |
| W2 | Current streak | W4 |
| 7-1 | Last 10 games | 6-2 |
| 1-0 road | Home / road record | 4-1 home |
| 25-19 (+1.7) | Last season | 24-18 (+1.9) |
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.